Event Catalyst

Catalyst detection and surfacing — the system that attaches a why to every meaningful price move.

What this is

Most price moves don’t come out of nowhere — they ride catalysts. Event Catalyst is TRUE’s system for detecting those events early, classifying them, and explaining them simply. It’s what lets the chat say “SOL just broke a level because the FTX estate just unstaked X” instead of just the first half.

Pipeline

01
Ingest
News feeds, on-chain anomalies, exchange announcements, social velocity.
02
Classify
Type (listing, regulatory, hack, macro, partnership, unlock) + magnitude.
03
Sentiment
Directional read with confidence, run through news-agent.
04
Attribute
Match the event to one or more affected assets via the asset graph.
05
Surface
Promote into Highlights, push to watchlists, feed signal-agent.

Event taxonomy

Every classified event carries one of six type tags and a magnitude (1–5). Magnitude is computed from a weighted blend of source authority, asset market cap, social velocity, and on-chain anomaly score. The tags:

  • Listing — a CEX/DEX adds or removes a market.
  • Regulatory — enforcement, framework, ETF, jurisdictional change.
  • Hack — exploit, exit scam, bridge incident, validator failure.
  • Macro — Fed action, CPI, FX shock, geopolitical event.
  • Partnership — protocol integration, distribution deal.
  • Unlock — token unlock, vesting cliff, staking unlock window.

TRUE Highlights

Highlights are the user-facing form of catalyst events: short, illustrated cards with a CTA, multilingual, time-limited. They’re authored partly by the news-agent and curated by the editorial team. Each Highlight carries a tag taxonomy that lets the home feed mix breaking events with evergreen explainers.

Why this matters

A price chart without context is noise. Event Catalyst attaches a why to every meaningful move so users can decide whether the move reflects new information they care about or noise they should ignore. The signal-agent uses the same attribution to compute the cleanliness axis on signals — a signal generated into a fresh catalyst is automatically lower-cleanliness.

For Users

Highlights appear on the home feed, sorted by relevance to your watchlist and tags you follow. You can mute a tag entirely (no more macro Highlights, for instance) or pin one for the top of the feed. Time-limited Highlights expire automatically — you’ll never see a “what just happened” card three days after the fact.

For Developers

Subscribe to catalyst feeds

curl -X POST https://app.truefinance.ai/api/v1/webhooks \
  -H "Authorization: Bearer $TRUE_TOKEN" \
  -H "Content-Type: application/json" \
  -d '{
    "url": "https://example.com/hooks/catalysts",
    "events": ["catalyst.detected", "catalyst.updated"],
    "filter": { "min_magnitude": 3, "types": ["regulatory", "hack", "macro"] }
  }'

Webhook payload

{
  "id": "evt_01JX9...",
  "type": "regulatory",
  "magnitude": 4,
  "sentiment": { "direction": "negative", "confidence": 0.81 },
  "headline": "...",
  "summary": "...",
  "assets": ["BTC", "ETH"],
  "sources": [
    { "url": "https://...", "publisher": "...", "fetched_at": "2026-04-29T12:34:56Z" }
  ],
  "first_seen_at": "2026-04-29T12:34:50Z",
  "last_updated_at": "2026-04-29T12:35:14Z",
  "dedup_key": "reg-20260429-..."
}

Replay endpoint

For catastrophic events (hacks, regulatory shocks), historical detail is available via the replay endpoint. Use it to backfill a missed window during downstream downtime.

curl -G "https://app.truefinance.ai/api/v1/catalysts" \
  --data-urlencode "from=2026-04-29T00:00:00Z" \
  --data-urlencode "to=2026-04-29T23:59:59Z" \
  -H "Authorization: Bearer $TRUE_TOKEN"
Safety

Sentiment is approximate, not predictive. Direction labels reflect a snapshot read of newsroom tone and on-chain reaction in the first minutes — they can flip as more information surfaces. Never trade on a single headline. The asset-graph attribution can over-attribute when projects share contributors or share a parent foundation; a Highlight tagged on Asset A may also move Asset B without TRUE having attributed it.

Safety, limits, failure modes

  • Source latency. Some publishers update slowly; on-chain anomalies are typically faster than newsroom coverage.
  • Cross-source dedup. Events from multiple sources collapse to a single Highlight with a list of source URLs. Dedup keys are stable for replay.
  • Sentiment flip. Re-evaluation runs on a 5-minute cadence in the first hour, then 30-minute cadence. Webhooks emit catalyst.updated on every flip.
  • Attribution drift. The asset graph is curated; if you spot a wrong attribution, please report — the editorial loop is open.

See also

  • Signals — catalyst attribution feeds the cleanliness axis.
  • Webhooks — push delivery for catalyst events.
  • Chat — Highlights surface inline when relevant to a chat turn.
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